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2012 Oscar Predictions

Posted by: Matthew Turner 24/02/2012 @ 11:20
Subject: Film

Total films seen so far this year: 44
Films seen in the last week: Cabin in the Woods, Salmon Fishing In The Yemen, Hunky Dory (again), Contraband, Rampart (again), The Pirates! In An Adventure With Scientists

FILM OF THE WEEK: Blood Car

Final Oscar Predictions
Right then. With Oscar Night finally nearly upon us (this Sunday night, Oscar fans), it's cards on the table time, prediction-wise.
Everybody seems more or less agreed on the front-runners at this point (although Guy Lodge points out that there's plenty of available nay-saying - the “Dujardin is Roberto Benigni all over again” argument is particularly mean-spirited) and I can't see any reason to go against the favourites at this point. So without further ado, I present my Oscar predictions (in ten of the main categories) for 2012.

Best Picture
Will Win: The Artist
Should Win: The Artist, but I will leap for joy if Moneyball or Midnight In Paris win (they won't). The only possible rival to The Artist at this point is The Help, which is very Academy-friendly and is also likely to pick up a number of other awards on the night. I won't be upset if that happens either.

Best Director
Will Win: Michel Hazanavacius for The Artist
Should Win: My heart says Woody Allen, my head says Terrence Malick.

Best Actor
Will Win: Jean Dujardin
Should Win: Jean Dujardin. As much as I love George Clooney (and I love him a LOT), the only performance I wouldn't begrudge beating Dujardin is Brad Pitt's in Moneyball.

Best Actress
Will Win: Viola Davis
Should Win: Viola Davis. Or Michelle Williams. No Thatcher celebrating, please, Oscars.

Best Supporting Actor
Will Win: Christopher Plummer
Should Win: Nick Nolte for Warrior. Partly because he should have won for Affliction when Roberto Benigni beat him to Best Actor. I'd also love for Kenneth Branagh to win for My Week With Marilyn. He won't though.

Best Supporting Actress
Will Win: Octavia Spencer
Should Win: Octavia Spencer. No argument there. She's fantastic.
Jessica Chastain will get her chance in the very near future, no doubt. I don't think even a sweep for The Artist can change Spencer's win at this point.

Best Adapted Screenplay
Will Win: The Descendants
Should Win: Moneyball. I think this is likely to be the Academy's consolation prize to The Descendants, which was once considered the front-runner in several categories.

Best Original Screenplay
Will Win: Midnight In Paris
Should Win: Midnight In Paris. Again, no argument from me there. Woody almost always wins when it comes to screenplay noms. At least, he does in my head – I'm not going to bother backing that up with FACTS at this point.

Best Animated Film
Will Win: Rango
Should Win: Chico & Rita (although I won't be sad to see Rango win).
Chico & Rita is a much more ambitious film and I'd love to see adult-oriented animation win in this category, but I think the Depp Factor is too high.

Best Foreign Film
Will Win: A Separation
Should Win: A Separation, although it's the only one of the nominees I've actually seen.

Trailerwatch: Iron Sky
I'd seen the amazing teaser trailer for Iron Sky back in 2008 and, like everyone else, was instantly hooked by its glorious premise: “In 1945, the Nazis went to the Moon. In 2018, they are coming back ...” The filmmakers took their teaser to Cannes in 2008 and secured funding for a full length feature, so now that full length feature is almost upon us and the full trailer has recently been released. I'm still excited to see it and the special effects look amazing, but I'm not sure the script is going to be all that good and the Sarah Palin As President joke is already looking a little old. Still, on the plus side, they've cast Udo Kier (always a great go-to choice for Insane Nazi Bad Guy) and there are some nice touches. I especially like the chorus of Moon Nazi children chanting “The Dark Side of the Moon” and “We come in peace!”



I think I was sort of hoping for a 1940s-style production, given that that's what the original teaser trailer hinted at. Similarly, the poster emphasises that it's basically a silly comedy (hot, busty Nazi lady front and centre), but I somehow can't help wishing they'd played it straight. Ah well. It opens here on 4th April (surely someone considered April 1st), so not long to wait now.

Top 10 Films On Release This Week (as recommended by me):
Only two new entries this week with just the excellent exploitation comedy schlock-fest Blood Car and Aussie doggy drama Red Dog making it into the top ten. I decided to give Rampart another chance (I'd seen it in San Sebastian and had, um, nodded off a bit), but, sadly, it didn't really improve on a second viewing. And the things that annoyed me about it the first time were even more annoying second time round.
Also, what a waste of Steve Buscemi. Sadly, Corman's World seems to have already finished its brief theatrical run, but the DVD is out very soon.

Interview-wise this week we have an exclusive (and hilarious) interview with Blood Car director Alex Orr and press conference interviews with Denzel Washington and director Daniel Espinosa for Safe House.

You can also still read our press conference interview with Nicolas Cage for Ghost Rider: Spirit of Vengeance, our exclusive interview with My Summer of Love director Pawel Pawlikowski for The Woman in the Fifth, our press conference interview with Kermit, Miss Piggy and Muppets director James Bobin; our press conference interview with David Cronenberg, Viggo Mortensen, Michael Fassbender and writer Christopher Hampton for A Dangerous Method; our exclusive interview with Bombay Beach director Alma Har'el, our press conference interviews with Descendants stars George Clooney, Shailene Woodley and director Alexander Payne; our exclusive press conference interview with the stars of Intruders (Clive Owen, Daniel Bruhl, Carice Van Houten, Ella Purnell and the lovely Pilar Lopez de Ayala); our exclusive round table interviews with the lovely Benedict Cumberbatch and Tom Hiddleston for War Horse, our exclusive round table interview with lead Jeremy Irvine, our exclusive interview with author Michael Morpurgo, and a press conference interview with director Steven Spielberg.

Come back next week for exclusive interviews with Hunky Dory star Minnie Driver (*sigh*) and director Marc Evans.

1. The Artist
2. The Muppets
3. The Descendants
4. Young Adult
5. Martha Marcy May Marlene
6. Blood Car
7. Chronicle
8. Position Among The Stars
9. Red Dog
10. The Woman in the Fifth

DVD of the Week: Crazy Stupid Love (out now, online RRP £9.99)
This week's DVD of the Week is Crazy Stupid Love, from Bad Santa directors Glenn Ficarra and John Requa. Steve Carell stars as Cal, a married husband and father who's devastated when his wife Emily (Julianne Moore) tells him she's been unfaithful and wants a divorce.
While drowning his sorrows in a local bar, Cal meets smooth pick-up artist Jacob (Ryan Gosling), who decides to take him under his wing and give him a male make-over. Soon, Cal is a bona fide ladies man, but after a wild night with a fellow recent divorceé (Marisa Tomei, very funny), he realises that he's still in love with Emily, so he tries to get her back. Meanwhile, Jacob meets his match in feisty trainee lawyer Hannah (Emma Stone), while Cal's son Robbie (Jonah Bobo) falls in love with his teenage babysitter Jessica (Analeigh Tipton), unaware that she has a crush on his dad.



Crazy Stupid Love's main strength is its collection of likeable characters, who somehow manage to remain sympathetic even when they're doing unlikeable things. The script's generosity even extends to Kevin Bacon (as the work colleague that Emily slept with), a character that could easily have been written and played as the villain of the piece. Carell is excellent as Cal, sparking nicely off Gosling and generating strong chemistry with both Moore and Bobo. However, that's nothing compared to the smoking hot chemistry between Gosling and Emma Stone, while Stone, in turn, pretty much steals the film, adding a number of adorable, presumably improvised touches to her character such as biting Gosling's shoulder while he's on the phone in a shop.

The only problem with the film is that, one very clever moment aside, it's all rather predictable and can't resist indulging in one of the very worst romcom clichés: the personal speech, via microphone, to a large audience of people who couldn't care less. That said, overall, this is an enjoyable comedy drama with likeable characters, an engaging script and terrific performances from a fine ensemble cast. The only extras on the DVD are 12 minutes of Deleted Scenes, though in a naked attempt to get Ryan Gosling fans to buy Blu-Ray players, there is also a 2-disc Triple Play Blu-Ray version available.

Comments

by  cyber  25/02/2012 @ 17:29
Best Picture- The Artist
Best Actor- Gary Oldman for Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
Best Actress- Meryl Streep for The Iron Lady
Best Director- Michel Hazavanicius for The Artist
Best Supporting Actor- Christopher Plummer for Beginners
Best Supporting Actress- Octavia Spencer for The Help
Best Original Screenplay- Hugo
Best Cinematography- Janusz Kaminski for War Horse
Best Adapted Screenplay- Aaron Sorkin for Moneyball
Best Original Score- John Williams for War Horse
Best Aimated Film- Chico and Rita
Best Foreign Film- A Sepration
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